Fact Check: Are Heat Pumps the Solution to Heatwaves?
As regions of the United States endure the final heatwaves of the summer, discussions of efficient and affordable ways to keep homes cool have gained traction. With increased temperatures putting traditional HVAC systems to the test, environmentalists see the opportunity to promote heat pumps as the only viable options for Americans to save money and increase their energy efficiency.
In fact, New York Times climate reporter Christopher Flavelle detailed his journey to electrify his home during one of the latest heatwaves in the Washington-D.C. area.
Flavelle states that although the initial costs of making the switch were difficult, he’s confident that he will save more in the long run thanks to stronger efficiency.
Unfortunately, Flavelle is mistaken on both accounts.
Natural Gas is Reliable
As one of the top fuel sources in the U.S. energy mix, natural gas is the most abundant energy source for consumers. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, natural gas accounted for 43 percent of the nation’s utility-scale electricity generation in 2023. More importantly research shows that the delivery of natural gas from production to American homes has an efficiency of 92 percent.
Natural Gas Lowers Emissions
Many claim that the switch to electrify homes will drastically lower emissions from the residential sector, but the reality is that the use of natural gas makes up a fraction of the emissions from this sector. In fact, according to the Environmental Protection Agency’s Greenhouse Gas Inventory (GHGI):
“The residential and commercial end-use sectors accounted for 19.1 and 16.6 percent, respectively, of CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion in 2022 including indirect emissions from electricity. The residential and commercial sectors relied heavily on electricity for meeting energy demands, with 62.9 and 66.9 percent, respectively, of their emissions attributable to electricity use for building -related activities such as lighting, heating, cooling, and operating appliances. The remaining emissions were due to the consumption of natural gas and petroleum for heating and cooking.” (emphasis added)
GHGI data show that using natural gas for heating and cooking represents about 5 percent of total U.S. C02 emissions and about 16 percent of the total CO2 from combustion of natural gas across all sectors of the economy.
Moreover, natural gas is a key driver for lower emissions across the globe. According to the EIA’s 2023 U.S. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions report, natural gas is responsible for the majority of reductions in carbon dioxide emissions from the power sector. The data indicates yet again that increased natural gas use is the driving factor in reducing CO2 emissions.
Natural Gas is More Affordable
Despite the efforts of activists and regulators to enforce expensive home electrification standards, traditional gas-powered HVAC systems are the most cost-effective solution for Americans. The U.S. Department of Energy has also confirmed that natural gas is 3.3 times more affordable than electricity and significantly more affordable than several other residential energy sources. On average, U.S. households that use natural gas for their daily lives save an average of $1,132 per year compared to electricity.
Source: American Gas Association
The upfront cost to make the switch from natural gas to electric is also a major concern. Even with subsidies for heat pump technologies from the Inflation Reduction Act, most households need to meet specific efficiency requirements to access monetary relief. Flavelle even confirmed himself:
“The Inflation Reduction Act offers tax credits worth up to $2,000, provided your heat pump meets a certain threshold for energy efficiency. The law also offers states money for their own subsidies, but the District of Columbia has yet to set up its program. D.C. also has separate, ratepayer-funded heat pump rebates, which predate the 2022 law and came to about $350 in my case. (If I had bought a more efficient model, that D.C. rebate would have been twice as high. But the salesman didn’t tell me that, and in my haste, I didn’t think to ask.)”
Furthermore, a heat pump costs between $14,500 to $20,000 compared to gas powered HVAC systems that are around $12,000. After the system is purchased and installed, most households can expect to pay a hefty price.
Bottom Line:
Natural gas ensures that our communities are running smoothly. There’s consistent proof that the fuel source is an effective tool for lowering emissions, while also maintaining the economic security of households across the United States. Homeowners should be well-informed that electrification isn’t the only solution to supporting a more affordable and secure energy future, and continue to have the choice to select which fuel makes the most sense for their households.
No Comments